Categories | Anticipated risks and opportunities | Impact on the Group | Business impact*1 | Countermeasures | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2030 | 2050 | |||||||
1.5℃ | 4℃ | 1.5℃ | 4℃ | |||||
Transition risk | Political and legal/regulatory (carbon pricing) |
·Abrupt changes in fuel prices ·Electrical fees due to adoption of environmentally friendly vehicles |
·Fluctuations in shipping fuel costs | Intermediate(+) *2 |
Intermediate | Intermediate | Intermediate |
·Adoption of environmentally friendly vehicles (EVs, HVs, LNG, environmentally friendly DSL, etc.) and tandem-trailer trucks ·Implementation of a modal shift ·Study of adoption of technologies such as FCVs and LNG- and ammonia-powered ships ·Initiatives as a GX League participating company |
·Introduction of regulations such as carbon taxes | ·Increased cost burden | Significant | - | Significant | - | |||
Technical (delays in renewable energy and energy-saving technologies) |
·Difficulty in achieving greenhouse gas reduction targets | ·Increased cost of procuring renewable energy, energy savings, and carbon credits | - |
·Management of the Group’s energy use and implementation of energy-saving measures ·Acquisition of renewable energy-derived power |
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Market (growth/contraction of customer base) |
·Selection of low-carbon services by customers | ·Stagnating market share in the event SENKO fails to provide low-carbon services | Significant | - | Significant | - |
·Disclosure of CO₂ emissions, including Scope 3 ·Visualization of CO₂ emissions ·Provision of options geared to further decarbonization, for example use of environmentally friendly vehicles and ships, implementation of a modal shift, and consolidation of logistics facilities |
|
Physical risk | Acute (extreme weather) | ·Interruptions in road, rail, marine, and air freight service | ·Increased cost of continuing to operate our logistics business (equipment damage not covered by insurance, etc.) | - | - | Low | Low |
·BCP development and training ·Acquisition of supplies ·Support and partnership among facilities ·Decentralization of facilities ·Provision of alternative shipping routes |
Chronic (sea level rise) |
·Need for measures to deal with flood damage at logistics facilities and to reconsider where they are located | ·Increased costs, for example to assess risk at, and relocate, logistics facilities | - | |||||
Chronic (temperature rise) |
·Heat illness risk ·Increased employee attrition |
·Increased employee health impacts ·Increased costs in areas such as insurance premiums and hiring |
- |
·Realization of a safe labor environment ·Promotion of automated and unmanned technologies ·Cultivation of employee awareness of health and safety; strengthening of initiatives to promote health |
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Opportunities | Technical (adoption of renewable energy and energy-saving technologies) | ·Increased use of renewable energy and energy-saving technologies, for example switching to renewable energy |
·Stable supply of low-cost, low-CO₂ energy ·Revenue from the sale of privately generated power |
- |
·Installation of solar power equipment and private consumption of generated power ·Installation of LED lighting and curtailment of air conditioner use ·Transition to solar power, wind power, and other renewables |
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Technical (progress in next-generation technologies) | ·Increased adoption of next-generation logistics technologies that improve vehicle loading and operational efficiency, for example joint logistics services |
·Savings in logistics costs, for example due to implementation of a modal shift and adoption of tandem-trailer trucks ·Reduced CO₂ emissions |
Intermediate | - | Intermediate | - | ·Proposal of logistics services that take into account climate change risk, for example optimized shipping patterns and optimized shipping routes | |
Market (next-generation energy transport) |
·Increased demand for liquefied hydrogen shipped by tanker trucks as fuel cell-powered trucks enter into widespread use ·Increased demand for liquefied ammonia shipment via ships |
·Increased revenue related to liquefied hydrogen and liquefied ammonia shipment | Low | - | Intermediate | - | ·Expansion of existing businesses and development of next-generation energy shipping structures | |
Market (circular economy) | ·Increased reuse and recycling of EV batteries, solar panels, and waste plastic | ·Increased revenue related to logistics services related to reuse and recycling | Low | - | Low | - |
·Targeting of existing and new customers based on demand for measures to deal with climate change ·Development of logistics platforms |
|
Reputational (stakeholder reputation) | ·Praise from investors and others in response to accurate disclosure of information about how we are addressing climate change risk | ·Increased corporate value and fund procurement under better terms | - |
·More extensive disclosure of information to stakeholders ·Fund procurement using means such as green bonds |